Back

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Rising in a shallow recovery channel

  • EUR/GBP is rising in a shallow channel since it bottomed out in late August. 
  • The trend is now probably sideways – possibly even bullish, with odds favoring more upside and a reversal. 

EUR/GBP continues steadily recovering in a shallow channel. The dominant short-term downtrend in August has ended and the pair has entered a sideways trend. It is even possible it could be at the start of an uptrend. 

EUR/GBP 4-hour Chart

EUR/GBP will probably continue its shallow rising channel higher. An acceleration to the upside and decisive breakout above the upper channel line could lead to a move up to a target at 0.8468. The odds are probably now marginally in favor of more upside. A decisive break would be one accompanied by a long green candle that breaks above the level and closes near its high, or three green candles in a row. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator is rising in line with price, indicating mild bullish confidence. 

It is still possible the August downtrend could resume, with a decisive breakdown below the lower channel line probably leading to a fall to a target at 0.8400. 

The pair was falling in a descending channel during August. The downtrend accelerated and temporarily broke out of the bottom of the channel – a sign of exhaustion. After bottoming out it began a shallow recovery which continues evolving.  

 

USD/CAD: Little changed on the day – Scotiabank

The CAD is trading close to Friday’s closing level and resisting the bounce in the USD that has followed Friday’s US jobs data, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Read more Previous

Is the world facing a dollar yoke? – Commerzbank

During his last presidency, Donald Trump did everything he could to weaken the US dollar.
Read more Next