USD/SGD: USD, RMB forces dominate – OCBC

USD/SGD fell sharply, driven by USD decline and RMB strength. Pair was last at 1.2851.

SGD strength may continue to stay

“Daily momentum turned bearish while RSI fell into oversold conditions. We still caution for rebound risks. Support here at 1.2820, 1.2740 levels. Resistance at 1.2910, 1.2990 (21 DMA).”

“We had shared that the recent uptick in core CPI for Aug may well suggest that it is premature for MAS to ease policy stance at Oct MPC unless MAS switches from inflation fighting mode to supporting growth. As such, SGD strength may continue to stay with us for a little longer, especially if USD softness presses on.”

Sep 25, 2024

EUR: Significant economic risks are upon the markets – Commerzbank

Risks are lurking in the euro zone, and it is now more appropriate to look at the economy rather than inflation, Commerzbank’s FX analyst Antje Praefcke notes.

Can stronger Pound Sterling lead to larger interest rate cuts by BoE? – Commerzbank

Will the stronger pound lead to larger interest rate cuts by the Bank of England (BoE)? Does the recent strength of the Pound Sterling (GBP) mean that imported inflation will be lower and, conversely, that the Bank of England (BoE) will be able to cut interest rates more quickly? In principle, this is a very fascinating idea, and not just for the BoE, Commerzbank’s FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.