Trading news

DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng highlights that Thailand’s financial markets, particularly the Thai Baht (THB) and equities, are under pressure due to vulnerability to Middle East conflict-related commodity shocks.

UOB’s Global Economics & Markets Research, via Julia Goh and Loke Siew Ting, notes that the central bank of the Philippines, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) kept the RRP (Reverse Repurchase Rate) rate at 4.25% in an off-cycle meeting as supply-driven inflation and Middle East risks intensify.

Silver price turns positive on the day after posting back-to-back bearish sessions, as heightened tensions in the Middle East decreased the white metal’s safe-haven appeal, prompting traders to turn to the US Dollar.

Commerzbank economists Dr. Henry Hao and Volkmar Baur say China’s industrial profits surged early in 2026, led by AI-related electronics, but this strength predates the recent energy shock.

United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions climbed from previous £-65.5K to £-58.4K

Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions: ¥-62.8K vs ¥-67.8K

United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions climbed from previous $159.9K to $168.3K

United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions climbed from previous $-113.1K to $-80.9K

United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions rose from previous 218.7K to 233.6K

Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions declined to €9.3K from previous €21.1K

Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions rose from previous $69.1K to $70.9K

DBS Group Research expects Indonesia’s March CPI inflation to stay firm at 4% year-on-year, slightly below February’s 4.8%, but with a faster monthly pace. Analysts highlight the impact of higher energy prices and festive demand, as well as base effects.

Gold (XAU/USD) price rallies over 3% on Friday as dip buyers emerge, amid the conflict entering its fifth week of hostilities, with no signs of de-escalation, and as inflation pressures rise. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,510 after bouncing off daily lows of $4,375.

Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu analyses how the Iran conflict exposes India’s macro vulnerabilities through imported energy dependence and trade route risks. Kundu highlights broad spillovers from higher Oil and gas prices into the consumption basket and external balances.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with AUD/USD extending losses for a fourth straight day as the Greenback remains broadly supported amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

DBS Group Research sees South Korea’s March exports remaining in double-digit growth, supported by strong AI and data centre demand, higher memory prices and supply shortages, leading to a wider trade surplus despite rising import costs.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled on Friday, shedding roughly 510 points or 1.1% to fall below 45,500 and officially enter correction territory.

NZD/USD falls for the fourth consecutive day and trades around 0.5750 on Friday, down 0.17% on the day at the time of writing, pressured by renewed risk aversion and the resilience of the US Dollar (USD).

ING’s Deepali Bhargava warns that higher Oil prices and supply disruptions are worsening growth, inflation and external balances in the Philippines.

United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count down to 409 from previous 414