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Russia exports less crude oil despite a hike in production target – Commerzbank

According to Bloomberg data, Russia's seaborne crude oil exports fell to an average of 3.12 million barrels per day in the past four weeks, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.

Russian oil exports hit four-month low

"This is the lowest level in more than four months. The increase in the production target set by OPEC+ has therefore not yet been reflected in higher oil shipments. One factor could be that Russia is unable to increase production as much as agreed because it first has to make compensatory cuts to offset previous overproduction."

"In addition, demand from Russian refineries has risen in recent weeks, reducing the quantity of oil available for export. The lower oil supply from Russia is probably one reason why oil prices have so far been able to absorb the significant increase in OPEC+ production so well."

EIA expects no further increase in US crude oil production – Commerzbank

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) has revised its forecast for US crude oil production further downwards, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
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OPEC+ does not intend to increase oil production further after September – Commerzbank

OPEC+ is likely to increase oil production again in September and then take a pause, according to Bloomberg, citing delegates familiar with the matter.
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